Predicting risk: developing and testing of a nomogram to predict hospitalisation in chronic heart failure (CHF- Risk Study)

Abstract

Chronic heart failure (CHF) is the leading cause of hospital admission in the elderly. Currently, no absolute risk model for rehospitalisation exists. The CHF-Risk Study was a 3 phase study that led to the development of a nomogram using a derivation cohort of a contemporaneous Australian CHF population. Factors associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular rehospitalisation were: age; living alone; a sedentary lifestyle and the presence of multiple co-morbid conditions.