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    Linking Event Thinking with Structural Thinking: Methods to Improve Client Value in Projects

    Access Status
    Fulltext not available
    Authors
    Howick, S.
    Ackermann, Fran
    Anderson, D.
    Date
    2006
    Type
    Journal Article
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Citation
    Howick, S. and Ackermann, F. and Anderson, D. 2006. Linking Event Thinking with Structural Thinking: Methods to Improve Client Value in Projects. System Dynamics Review. 22 (2): pp. 113-140.
    Source Title
    System Dynamics Review
    DOI
    10.1002/sdr.332
    Additional URLs
    http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/sdr.332/abstract
    ISSN
    0883-7066
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/10957
    Collection
    • Curtin Research Publications
    Abstract

    Using a participant–observer research design, a team of modelers designed and implemented modeling guidelines to link semantically rich scenario maps to a formal causal influence diagram of a running simulation model. This process serves to link event thinking to structural thinking. These guidelines were used in a case, which involved: (1) developing a cause model of scenarios of the promotion of renewable energy sources in the U.K. electric power market from material elicited from a client group; (2) creating a system dynamics model of the same area; and (3) an integration of products 1 and 2 which enabled an analysis of the scenarios using the simulation model. The first two products used standard approaches and are not new; however, the third represents the key output of the research. By linking products 1 and 2, the research aimed to create better client value in the project by combining, in a systematic way, the relevant elements of scenario maps and system dynamics models. The process allows client groups to visualize and comprehend the linkage between event thinking and structural thinking in a complex system. This work informs ongoing research in group model building, strategy modeling (especially using scenarios) and the ongoing debate about qualitative versus quantitative system dynamics.

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