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    Spectral analysis of seasonality in tourism demand

    Access Status
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    Authors
    Chan, Felix
    Lim, C.
    Date
    2011
    Type
    Journal Article
    
    Metadata
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    Citation
    Chan, Felix and Lim, Christine. 2011. Spectral analysis of seasonality in tourism demand. Mathematics and Computers in Simulation. 81 (7): pp. 1409-1418.
    Source Title
    Mathematics and Computers in Simulation
    DOI
    10.1016/j.matcom.2010.06.005
    ISSN
    0378-4754
    School
    School of Economics and Finance
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/16166
    Collection
    • Curtin Research Publications
    Abstract

    This paper aims to analyse the seasonality in New Zealand tourism demand from Australia and the USA using spectral analysis. Tourism demand is divided into four different categories depending on the tourists’ visiting purposes as registered in the customs cards upon their arrivals in New Zealand. Spectral analysis based on the sample from January 1980 to December 2007 revealed that different travel purposes share similar cyclical components but their contributions to the total variation in tourism demand differ between travel purposes and markets. More importantly, the results show that analysing aggregated data is often not sufficient to reveal the underlying seasonal patterns of tourist arrivals and policy makers would benefit greatly by analysing disaggregated data rather than relying on the analysis of aggregated data alone.

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