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    Institutionally-induced pendulum? An assessment of state-level influences on postwar Australian federal voting

    19952_downloaded_stream_470.pdf (140.8Kb)
    Access Status
    Open access
    Authors
    Charnock, David
    Date
    2003
    Type
    Journal Article
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Citation
    Charnock, David. 2003. Institutionally-induced pendulum? An assessment of state-level influences on postwar Australian federal voting. Australian Journal of Political Science 38 (1): 119-132.
    Source Title
    Australian Journal of Political Science
    DOI
    10.1080/1036114032000056288
    Faculty
    Division of Humanities
    Faculty of Media, Society and Culture
    Faculty of Media, Society and Culture (MSC)
    Remarks

    This is an electronic version of an article published in: Charnock, David (2003) Institutionally-induced pendulum? An assessment of state-level influences on postwar Australian federal voting, Australian Journal of Political Science 38(1):119-132.

    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/25065
    Collection
    • Curtin Research Publications
    Abstract

    The extent of state-level influences on federal voting behaviour in Australia has been debated for many years. In this paper, I extend and improve on previous research by using the most advanced techniques (multilevel modelling) available for analysing survey data in this context, and present results based on an extensive investigation of postwar Australian elections.The results conclusively show that the overall extent of measurable state-level effects on federal voting over the period is relatively very small, despite the institutional significance of the states. In an attempt to reconcile these two facts, I therefore propose an institutional explanation of the small extent of state-level effects. I argue that the representation entitlements of the states in the House of Representatives would tend to result in the overall extent of state-level effects being relatively small because they introduce a self-correcting, 'pendulum' element into party competition. I investigate some hypotheses that follow from this argument, demonstrate that the evidence from the multilevel modelling is consistent with these hypotheses and conclude that this institutional element is a significant part of the explanation of the apparent unimportance of state-level influences.

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