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dc.contributor.authorSimpson, John
dc.identifier.citationSimpson, John (2007) Expert political risk opinions and banking system returns: A revised banking market model., Working Paper Series: no. 2007-4, Curtin University of Technology, Centre for Research in Applied Economics.

Human behaviour in banking and finance systems is in part made up of a complex mix of political, social and cultural factors. These factors are reflected in expert opinion based political risk scores. Market inefficiency is largely a result of anomalies in human behaviour causing information asymmetries. A basic systemic market model is re-specified into a model for international banking systems, which controls for pure political risk. Samples of developed and developing banking systems are examined. Political risk factors and world banking returns are exogenous in models of country-banking system returns. New political information assists in explaining banking system stock returns. The findins should be of interest to investors in banking stocks. Banking regulators may be assisted in decisions on appropriate levels of regulatory capital as a benchmark for banking systems. The model could help to anticipate financial crises.

dc.subjectand reisks scores
dc.subjectPolitical risk
dc.subjectinternational banking market model
dc.titleExpert political risk opinions and banking system returns: A revised banking market model.
dc.typeWorking Paper
dcterms.source.seriesWorking Paper Series
curtin.departmentCentre for Research in Applied Economics
curtin.accessStatusOpen access
curtin.facultyCurtin Business School
curtin.facultySchool of Economics and Finance

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