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    Testing for structural change in heterogeneous panels with an application to the Euro’s trade effect

    189498_189498.pdf (308.2Kb)
    Access Status
    Open access
    Authors
    Pauwels, L.
    Chan, Felix
    Mancini Griffoli, T.
    Date
    2012
    Type
    Journal Article
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Citation
    Pauwels, Laurent L. and Chan, Felix and Mancini Griffoli, Tommaso. 2012. Testing for structural change in heterogeneous panels with an application to the Euro’s trade effect. Journal of Time Series Econometrics. 4 (2): pp. 1-33.
    Source Title
    Journal of Time Series Econometrics
    DOI
    10.1515/1941-1928.1141
    ISSN
    2194-6507
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/2697
    Collection
    • Curtin Research Publications
    Abstract

    This paper presents a structural change test for panel data models in which the break (or the change) affects some, but not all, cross-section units in the panel. The test is robust to non-normal, heteroskedastic and autocorrelated errors, as well as end-of-sample structural change. The test amounts to computing and comparing pre- and post-break sample statistics as Chow (1960) type F statistics averaged over cross-section units. The cases of known and unknown break date are both considered. Under mild assumptions, the test has a limiting standard normal distribution as the number of cross-sections tends to infinity. Monte Carlo experiments show that the test has good size and power under a wide range of circumstances, including when the break date is unknown and differs across individual units, and when errors exhibit cross-section dependence. Finally, the test is illustrated by seeking a break in the dynamics of trade among euro area countries following the introduction of the euro.

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