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    Explaining commodity prices through asymmetric oil shocks: Evidence from nonlinear models

    245810_245810.pdf (1.473Mb)
    Access Status
    Open access
    Authors
    Shuddhasattwa, R.
    Bloch, Harry
    Date
    2016
    Type
    Journal Article
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Citation
    Shuddhasattwa, R. and Bloch, H. 2016. Explaining commodity prices through asymmetric oil shocks: Evidence from nonlinear models. Resources Policy. 50: pp. 34-48.
    Source Title
    Resources Policy
    DOI
    10.1016/j.resourpol.2016.08.005
    ISSN
    0301-4207
    School
    School of Economics and Finance
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/3079
    Collection
    • Curtin Research Publications
    Abstract

    Linkages between oil and 25 other commodity prices are examined using annual data for 1900 to 2011. We identify long-run relationships using both linear and nonlinear ARDL models and capture short-run causalities through asymmetric Granger causality tests. Nonlinearity can’t be rejected for the relationship between oil and most other commodity prices. Long-run positive impacts of oil price increases are found for 20 commodities and short-run negative impacts for 13 commodity prices. Oil prices don’t have much impact on beverage or cereal prices once endogeneity is accounted for, but they have substantial impact on metal prices.

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