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    The Impact of Cognitive Predispositions on Exploration Decisions in the Mineral Industry

    Access Status
    Fulltext not available
    Authors
    Wastell, Colin
    Etheridge, Mike
    McMahon, Maureen
    Lucas, Gillian
    Hartley, Lisa
    Date
    2011
    Type
    Journal Article
    
    Metadata
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    Citation
    Wastell, Colin and Etheridge, Mike and McMahon, Maureen and Lucas, Gillian and Hartley, Lisa. 2011. The Impact of Cognitive Predispositions on Exploration Decisions in the Mineral Industry. Applied Cognitive Psychology 25 (3): pp. 469-479.
    Source Title
    Applied Cognitive Psychology
    DOI
    10.1002/acp.1715
    ISSN
    0888-4080
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/31841
    Collection
    • Curtin Research Publications
    Abstract

    Minerals exploration is conducted within an environment of ambiguity in the information and a high degree of uncertainty concerning success. In an extension and application of Tetlock (2005) the present research examined the impact of cognitive predispositions on the quality of minerals exploration decision-making. Utilising instruments specifically designed to assess thinking and judgement predispositions results indicate that for this sample (n = 94) an enjoyment of rational thinking and the need for cognitive closure were predictive of lower estimated percentages of the likelihood of finding an exploitable deposit keeping geophysical data constant. Several counter-intuitive findings related to the relationship between likelihood and amount of expenditure were also found. The findings add further support to Tetlock's (2005) call to hold experts in all fields to account for the recommendations they make and to examine not just what they think but how they think.

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