Post-War Changes in the Influence of Social Structure on Australian Voting: The 'Decline of Social Cleavages' Revisited
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Franklin, Mackie and Valen?s 1992 book on Electoral Change drew on evidence taken from a small number of surveys in each included country (including Australia) during the mid-1960s to 1990 to derive some general conclusions about the historical decline of cleavage politics. In this article, I make some methodological improvements and also considerably chronologically extend the analyses for Australia, to cover the whole of the post-war period. The results show that some of the previous conclusions are incorrect and that although there has been a decline in the strength of association between social structural variables and voting for the ALP over the post-war period, the decline has not been a smooth one and predominantly occurred in the earlier part of the period. I also discuss the results in the context of broader international debates about the impact of social changes on voting.
This is an electronic version of an article published in
Charnock, David (2005) Post-War Changes in the Influence of Social Structure on Australian Voting: The 'Decline of Social Cleavages' Revisited, Australian Journal of Political Science 40:343-355.
Australian Journal of Political Science is available online at: http://www.informaworld.com
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