Development and application of probabilistic criteria in value-based transmission system adequacy assessment

Chowdury, A.; Islam, Syed

doi:10.1109/AUPEC.2007.4548014

117513_Development%20and%20application%20117513%20IEEE.pdf (658.4Kb)

Access Status

Open access

Authors

Chowdury, A.

Islam, Syed

Date

2007

Type

Conference Paper

Metadata

Show full item record

Citation

Chowdury, A. and Islam, Syed. 2007. Development and application of probabilistic criteria in value-based transmission system adequacy assessment, in Proceedings of the Australasian Universities Power Engineering Conference (ed), AUPEC 2007 Australasian Universities Power Engineering Conference, Dec 9 2007, pp. 1-9. Perth, WA: Curtin University of Technology.

Source Title

Conference Proceedings of the 2007 Australasian Universities Power Engineering Conference

Source Conference

Australasian Universities Power Engineering Conference 2007

DOI

10.1109/AUPEC.2007.4548014

ISBN

9780646494883

Faculty

School of Electrical Engineering and Computing

Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering

Faculty of Science and Engineering

Remarks

Copyright © 2007 IEEE. This material is presented to ensure timely dissemination of scholarly and technical work. Copyright and all rights therein are retained by authors or by other copyright holders. All persons copying this information are expected to adhere to the terms and constraints invoked by each author's copyright. In most cases, these works may not be reposted without the explicit permission of the copyright holder.

URI

http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/41087

Collection

Curtin Research Publications

Abstract

In the past, electric utilities were continuously adding more facilities to their systems in order to satisfy the growing customer energy requirements based on a set of deterministic criteria that guide transmission planning. The traditional planning guidelines were based on planner's experience and intuition without a formal and consistent framework for their development. In most cases, using the deterministic criteria, the systems were either over or under built. In the deregulated market, any investment decision related to transmission reliability required to be addressed on a rational and quantitative basis within a cost-benefit framework explicitly using data on the value of changes in service reliability to customers. The ultimate determination of poor or adequate transmission reliability performance in the cost-benefit planning framework is based on customer's preferences and customer mix that are unique to each transmission system. In the current competitive energy market environment, such an approach makes perfect sense. This paper presents an approach to rank the deterministic contingencies using a relative likelihood approach to the most frequent contingency of a generator outage and assign required system steady state performance requirements against high, medium and low probability contingencies. The paper then illustrates the applications of the probability based criteria in value-based transmission system reliability enhancement planning using a practical transmission system.