Predicting sea level variations with artificial neural networks at Hillarys Boat Harbour, Western Australia

Makarynskyy, Oleg and Makarynska, Dina and Kuhn, Michael and Featherstone, Will. 2004. Predicting sea level variations with artificial neural networks at Hillarys Boat Harbour, Western Australia. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 61 (2): 351-360.

Source Title

Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science

DOI

10.1016/j.ecss.2004.06.004

Faculty

Division of Resources and Environment

Department of Spatial Sciences

Remarks

O. Makarynskyy, , D. Makarynska, M. Kuhn and W.E. Featherstone(2004) Predicting sea level variations with artificial neural networks at Hillarys Boat Harbour, Western Australia. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science 61(2):351-360.

The link to this article is:

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2004.06.004

URI

http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/43320

Collection

Curtin Research Publications

Abstract

In the present study, the artificial intelligence meshless methodology of neural networks was used to predict hourly sea level variations for the following 24 hours, as well as for half-daily, daily, 5-daily and 10-daily mean sea levels. The methodology is site specific; therefore, as an example, the measurements from a single tide gauge at Hillarys Boat Harbour, Western Australia, for the period December 1991-December 2002 were used to train and to validate the employed neural networks. The results obtained show the feasibility of the neural sea level forecasts in terms of the correlation coefficient (0.7-0.9), root mean square error (about 10% of tidal range) and scatter index (0.1-0.2).