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    Can extreme rainfall trigger democratic change? The role of flood-induced corruption

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    Fulltext not available
    Authors
    Rahman, Muhammad Habibur
    Anbarci, N.
    Bhattacharya, P.S.
    Ulubaşoğlu, M.A.
    Date
    2017
    Type
    Journal Article
    
    Metadata
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    Citation
    Rahman, M.H. and Anbarci, N. and Bhattacharya, P.S. and Ulubaşoğlu, M.A. 2017. Can extreme rainfall trigger democratic change? The role of flood-induced corruption. Public Choice. 171: pp. 331-358.
    Source Title
    Public Choice
    DOI
    10.1007/s11127-017-0440-1
    ISSN
    0048-5829
    Faculty
    Faculty of Business and Law
    School
    School of Economics, Finance and Property
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/80690
    Collection
    • Curtin Research Publications
    Abstract

    © 2017, Springer Science+Business Media New York.

    Using a new dataset of extreme rainfall covering 130 countries from 1979 to 2009, this paper investigates whether and how extreme rainfall-driven flooding affects democratic conditions. Our key finding indicates that extreme rainfall-induced flooding exerts two opposing effects on democracy. On one hand, flooding leads to corruption in the chains of emergency relief distribution and other post-disaster assistance, which in turn impels the citizenry to demand more democracy. On the other hand, flooding induces autocratic tendencies in incumbent regimes because efficient post-disaster management with no dissent, chaos or plunder might require government to undertake repressive actions. The net estimated effect is an improvement in democratic conditions.

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