Gestational age as a predictor for subsequent preterm birth in New South Wales, Australia
dc.contributor.author | Pereira, Gavin | |
dc.contributor.author | Regan, Annette | |
dc.contributor.author | Wong, Kingsley | |
dc.contributor.author | Tessema, Gizachew | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2023-09-07T01:26:40Z | |
dc.date.available | 2023-09-07T01:26:40Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2021 | |
dc.identifier.citation | Pereira, G. and Regan, A.K. and Wong, K. and Tessema, G.A. 2021. Gestational age as a predictor for subsequent preterm birth in New South Wales, Australia. BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth. 21 (1): ARTN 607. | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/93227 | |
dc.identifier.doi | 10.1186/s12884-021-04084-x | |
dc.description.abstract |
Background: There is no validated evidence base on predictive ability and absolute risk of preterm birth by gestational age of the previous pregnancy. Methods: We conducted a retrospective cohort study of mothers who gave birth to their first two children in New South Wales, 1994–2016 (N = 517,558 mothers). For each week of final gestational age of the first birth, we calculated relative and absolute risks of subsequent preterm birth. Results: For mothers whose first birth had a gestational age of 22 to 30 weeks the absolute risks of clinically significant preterm second birth (before 28, 32, and 34 weeks) were all less than 14%. For all gestational ages of the first child the median gestational ages of the second child were all at least 38 weeks. Sensitivity and positive predictive values were all below 30%. Conclusion: Previous gestational age alone is a poor predictor of subsequent risk of preterm birth. | |
dc.language | English | |
dc.publisher | BMC | |
dc.relation.sponsoredby | http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1099655 | |
dc.relation.sponsoredby | http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1173991 | |
dc.relation.sponsoredby | http://purl.org/au-research/grants/nhmrc/1195716 | |
dc.rights.uri | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ | |
dc.subject | Science & Technology | |
dc.subject | Life Sciences & Biomedicine | |
dc.subject | Obstetrics & Gynecology | |
dc.subject | Premature birth | |
dc.subject | Gestational age | |
dc.subject | Recurrence | |
dc.subject | Predictive value of tests | |
dc.subject | Sensitivity and specificity | |
dc.subject | RECURRENCE RISK | |
dc.subject | HEALTH | |
dc.subject | Gestational age | |
dc.subject | Predictive value of tests | |
dc.subject | Premature birth | |
dc.subject | Recurrence | |
dc.subject | Sensitivity and specificity | |
dc.subject | Adult | |
dc.subject | Australia | |
dc.subject | Birth Order | |
dc.subject | Female | |
dc.subject | Gestational Age | |
dc.subject | Gravidity | |
dc.subject | Humans | |
dc.subject | Infant, Newborn | |
dc.subject | New South Wales | |
dc.subject | Parity | |
dc.subject | Pregnancy | |
dc.subject | Premature Birth | |
dc.subject | Retrospective Studies | |
dc.subject | Risk Factors | |
dc.subject | Young Adult | |
dc.subject | Humans | |
dc.subject | Premature Birth | |
dc.subject | Risk Factors | |
dc.subject | Retrospective Studies | |
dc.subject | Birth Order | |
dc.subject | Gravidity | |
dc.subject | Parity | |
dc.subject | Gestational Age | |
dc.subject | Pregnancy | |
dc.subject | Adult | |
dc.subject | Infant, Newborn | |
dc.subject | Australia | |
dc.subject | New South Wales | |
dc.subject | Female | |
dc.subject | Young Adult | |
dc.title | Gestational age as a predictor for subsequent preterm birth in New South Wales, Australia | |
dc.type | Journal Article | |
dcterms.source.volume | 21 | |
dcterms.source.number | 1 | |
dcterms.source.issn | 1471-2393 | |
dcterms.source.title | BMC Pregnancy and Childbirth | |
dc.date.updated | 2023-09-07T01:26:40Z | |
curtin.department | Office of the Pro Vice Chancellor Health Sciences | |
curtin.department | Curtin School of Population Health | |
curtin.accessStatus | Open access | |
curtin.faculty | Faculty of Health Sciences | |
curtin.contributor.orcid | Tessema, Gizachew [0000-0002-4784-8151] | |
curtin.contributor.orcid | Pereira, Gavin [0000-0003-3740-8117] | |
curtin.contributor.orcid | Regan, Annette [0000-0002-3879-6193] | |
curtin.contributor.researcherid | Tessema, Gizachew [J-9235-2018] | |
curtin.contributor.researcherid | Pereira, Gavin [D-7136-2014] | |
curtin.identifier.article-number | ARTN 607 | |
dcterms.source.eissn | 1471-2393 | |
curtin.contributor.scopusauthorid | Pereira, Gavin [35091486200] | |
curtin.contributor.scopusauthorid | Regan, Annette [25932252200] | |
curtin.repositoryagreement | V3 |