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    Building Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade

    Access Status
    Fulltext not available
    Authors
    Howick, S.
    Eden, C.
    Ackermann, Fran
    Williams, T.
    Date
    2008
    Type
    Journal Article
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Citation
    Howick, S. and Eden, C. and Ackermann, F. and Williams, T. 2008. Building Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade. European Journal of Operational Research. 186 (3): pp. 1068-1083.
    Source Title
    European Journal of Operational Research
    DOI
    10.1016/j.ejor.2007.02.027
    Additional URLs
    http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221707002408
    ISSN
    0377-2217
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/19811
    Collection
    • Curtin Research Publications
    Abstract

    This paper reports on a model building process developed to enable multiple audiences, particularly non-experts, to appreciate the validity of the models being built and their outcomes. The process is a four stage reversible cascade. This cascade provides a structured, auditable/transparent, formalized process from “real world” interviews generating a rich qualitative model through two intermediate steps before arriving at a quantitative simulation model. There are a number of advantages of the cascade process including; achieving comprehensiveness, developing organizational learning, testing the veracity of multiple perspectives, modeling transparency, achieving common understanding across many audiences and promoting confidence building in the models. The paper, based on extensive work with organizations, discusses both the cascade process and its inherent benefits.

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