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dc.contributor.authorHowick, S.
dc.contributor.authorEden, C.
dc.contributor.authorAckermann, Fran
dc.contributor.authorWilliams, T.
dc.date.accessioned2017-01-30T12:15:51Z
dc.date.available2017-01-30T12:15:51Z
dc.date.created2015-03-03T03:50:48Z
dc.date.issued2008
dc.identifier.citationHowick, S. and Eden, C. and Ackermann, F. and Williams, T. 2008. Building Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade. European Journal of Operational Research. 186 (3): pp. 1068-1083.
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/19811
dc.identifier.doi10.1016/j.ejor.2007.02.027
dc.description.abstract

This paper reports on a model building process developed to enable multiple audiences, particularly non-experts, to appreciate the validity of the models being built and their outcomes. The process is a four stage reversible cascade. This cascade provides a structured, auditable/transparent, formalized process from “real world” interviews generating a rich qualitative model through two intermediate steps before arriving at a quantitative simulation model. There are a number of advantages of the cascade process including; achieving comprehensiveness, developing organizational learning, testing the veracity of multiple perspectives, modeling transparency, achieving common understanding across many audiences and promoting confidence building in the models. The paper, based on extensive work with organizations, discusses both the cascade process and its inherent benefits.

dc.publisherElsevier BV * North-Holland
dc.relation.urihttp://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0377221707002408
dc.subjectCognitive mapping
dc.subjectValidity
dc.subjectSimulation
dc.subjectCause mapping
dc.titleBuilding Confidence in Models for Multiple Audiences: The Modelling Cascade
dc.typeJournal Article
dcterms.source.volume186
dcterms.source.number3
dcterms.source.startPage1068
dcterms.source.endPage1083
dcterms.source.issn0377-2217
dcterms.source.titleEuropean Journal of Operational Research
curtin.accessStatusFulltext not available


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