A Probabilistic Method for Forensic Cost Estimating of Infrastructure Projects
MetadataShow full item record
To determine the existence of overpricing in infrastructure projects a deterministic approach has been typically used by the Brazilian Federal Police. Yet, Judges have often found it too difficult to determine if overpricing had occurred as contractors have tended to claim their projects were ‘unique’ and therefore subjected to price increases. Consequently, Judges have had to consider the likelihood of an error occurring, which has more often led to application of the in 'dubio pro reo' principle. To address the pervasive issue of overpricing in Brazilian infrastructure projects, a novel and robust probabilistic method that utilizes ‘distribution fitting’ using empirical data to forensically determine its occurrence is presented. Considering the limited research that has examined forensic cost estimating in construction, it is promulgated that the proposed approach can be used to support the legal fraternities worldwide to obtain a criminal conviction for overpricing of public infrastructure projects.
Showing items related by title, author, creator and subject.
Post-conflict Reconstruction - A Case Study in Kosovo: The Complexity of Planning and Implementing Infrastructure ProjectsEarnest, James; Dickie, Carolyn (2012)Background: Rehabilitation and reconstruction of social and economic infrastructure in a post-conflict environment are complex, long-debated issues in development cooperation. In addition to war creating large-scale human ...
Post-conflict reconstruction : the complexity and challenges of planning and implementing infrastructure projects in KosovoEarnest, James (2011)Rehabilitation and reconstruction of social and economic infrastructure in a post-conflict environment are complex and long-debated issues in development cooperation. Both in pre-conflict and post-conflict situations, ...
Chong, Heap Yih; Lopez, Robert; Wang, Jun; Wang, Xiangyu; Zhao, Z. (2016)© 2016 American Society of Civil Engineers.The uses of building information modeling (BIM) in building and infrastructure projects are numerous. Most previous BIM case examples focused on buildings, and limited studies ...