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dc.contributor.authorDavies, R.
dc.contributor.authorMathias, S.
dc.contributor.authorSwarbrick, R.
dc.contributor.authorTingay, Mark
dc.date.accessioned2017-06-23T02:59:23Z
dc.date.available2017-06-23T02:59:23Z
dc.date.created2017-06-19T03:39:32Z
dc.date.issued2011
dc.identifier.citationDavies, R. and Mathias, S. and Swarbrick, R. and Tingay, M. 2011. Probabilistic longevity estimate for the LUSI mud volcano, East Java. Journal of the Geological Society. 168 (2): pp. 517-523.
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/53279
dc.identifier.doi10.1144/0016-76492010-129
dc.description.abstract

A new method for estimating the duration of a mud volcano eruption is applied to the LUSI mud volcano in East Java. The estimate is based upon carbonates at depths in the range 2500-3500 m being the water source, with an estimated area of 100-600 km2, thickness of 0.2-1.0 km, porosity of 0.15-0.25, an initial pressure between 13.9 and 17.6 MPa, and a separate, shallower source of mud (c. 1200-1800 m depth). The resulting 50 percentile for the time it takes for flow to decline to <0.1 Ml day-1 is 26 years. By analogy with natural mud volcanoes it can be expected to continue to flow at lower rates for thousands of years. Assuming subsidence rates of between 1 and 5 cm day-1, land surface subsidence of between c. 95 and c. 475 m can be expected to develop within the 26 year time period.

dc.publisherGeological Society Publishing House
dc.titleProbabilistic longevity estimate for the LUSI mud volcano, East Java
dc.typeJournal Article
dcterms.source.volume168
dcterms.source.number2
dcterms.source.startPage517
dcterms.source.endPage523
dcterms.source.issn0016-7649
dcterms.source.titleJournal of the Geological Society
curtin.departmentDepartment of Exploration Geophysics
curtin.accessStatusFulltext not available


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