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Multivariate machine learning-based prediction models of freeway traffic flow under non-recurrent events

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Authors
Aljuaydi, Fahad
Wiwatanapataphee, Benchawan
Wu, Yong
Date
2023
Type
Journal Article

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Aljuaydi, F. and Wiwatanapataphee, B. and Wu, Y.H. 2023. Multivariate machine learning-based prediction models of freeway traffic flow under non-recurrent events. Alexandria Engineering Journal. 65: pp. 151-162.
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Alexandria Engineering Journal
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Faculty
Faculty of Science and Engineering
School
School of Elec Eng, Comp and Math Sci (EECMS)
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Abstract

This paper concerns multivariate machine learning-based prediction models of freeway traffic flow under non-recurrent events. Five model architectures based on the multi-layer perceptron (MLP), convolutional neural network (CNN), long short-term memory (LSTM), CNN-LSTM and Autoencoder LSTM networks have been developed to predict traffic flow under a road crash and the rain. Using an input dataset with five features (the flow rate, the speed, and the density, road incident and rainfall) and two standard metrics (the Root Mean Square error and the Mean Absolute error), models’ performance is evaluated.

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