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    An Analysis of the Australian Mortality

    Albrbar S 2017.pdf (5.073Mb)
    Access Status
    Open access
    Authors
    Albrbar, Samira Shaban
    Date
    2017
    Supervisor
    Dr Ritu Gupta
    Type
    Thesis
    Award
    PhD
    
    Metadata
    Show full item record
    Faculty
    Science and Engineering
    School
    Department of Mathematics and Statistics
    URI
    http://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11937/70521
    Collection
    • Curtin Theses
    Abstract

    This thesis evaluates and compares the goodness-of-fit of six selected stochastic mortality models, based on Australian mortality data. These models are applied to both sexes, across three different age-group scenarios, and four lookback windows and five look forward windows. Four different criteria were applied in the model selection and evaluation and results indicate that the Lee-Carter model is more efficient. The forecast is for a period of 50-years (from 2012 to 2061) and results reveal that mortality rates are improving with age stratification.

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